SPY Week Ahead: CPI, Retail Sales & Options Expiry | Oct 12–16, 2026

Data cut-off: October 11, 2026 at 8:08 PM ET.
Coverage window: October 12–16, 2026.

This sourced SPY week-ahead brief maps the scheduled CPI, Beige Book, retail sales, initial claims, PPI, import prices, industrial production, and monthly options-expiration windows. It then shows the latest verified SPY market and near-expiry structure available at the episode cut-off. Provider forecasts are estimates—not official agency projections or actual releases.

00:00 Week-ahead brief
00:05 Key event map
00:17 Headline and core CPI
00:40 Retail sales
00:47 Initial claims
00:54 Headline and core PPI
01:05 Import prices
01:16 Industrial production and capacity
01:26 Observed SPY range
01:38 Gamma structure
01:49 Near-expiry option premiums
02:10 Model-derived max pain
02:22 Source check and disclaimer

Primary calendars and release schedules
BLS:
U.S. Census Bureau:
U.S. Department of Labor
Federal Reserve
Nasdaq trading calendar

Forecast provider at the stated cut-off
MarketWatch economic calendar

Data identity and limits
- 778.52 is an observed RTH NBBO midpoint, not an official closing trade.
- The observed RTH range comes from locally retained IBKR ticks.
- Call/put walls and gamma flip are model-derived; coincident walls produced no valid two-sided corridor.
- Near-expiry premiums are observed call-plus-put NBBO midpoints, not expected-move forecasts.
- Max-pain strikes use October 9 start-of-day open interest and are model-derived, not official or real-time.